Now that the market is slowing down, homeowners who haven’t sold at the price they were hoping for are increasingly pulling their homes off the market. According to the latest data from Realtor.com, the number of homeowners taking their homes off the market is up 38% since the start of this year and 48% since the same time last June. For every 100 new listings in June, about 21 homes were taken off the market.
And if you have made that same choice, you are probably frustrated things didn’t go the way you wanted. It’s hard when you feel like the market isn’t working with you. But while slowdowns can be painful in the moment, history tells us they don’t last forever.
History Repeats Itself: Proof from the Past
This isn’t the first time the housing market has experienced a slowdown. Here are some other notable times when home sales dropped significantly.
- 1980s: When mortgage rates climbed past 18%, buyers stopped cold. Sales crawled for years. But as soon as rates came down, sales surged back, and the market found its footing again.
- 2008: The Great Financial Crisis was one of the toughest housing downturns in history. Sales and prices both dropped hard. Still, sales rebounded once the economy recovered.
- 2020: During COVID, sales disappeared overnight, and many people had to put their plans on hold. Yet the recovery was faster than anyone expected, with a surge of buyers re-entering the market as soon as restrictions eased.
The lesson is clear: no matter the cause, the market always rebounds.
Today’s Situation: Where We Stand Now
Over the past few years, home sales have been sluggish. And one big reason why is affordability. Mortgage rates rose at a record-breaking pace in 2022, and home prices were climbing at the same time. That combination put buying out of reach for many people. And when demand slows, home sales do too.
The Outlook: Why Things Will Improve
But here’s the encouraging part. Forecasts show sales are expected to pick up again moving into 2026.
Last year, just about 4 million homes sold. And this year is looking very similar. But the average of the latest forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association, and the National Association of Realtors show the experts believe there will be around 4.5 million home sales in 2026.
And a big reason behind that projection is the expectation that mortgage rates will come down a bit, making it easier for more buyers to jump back in.
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That means what’s happening now is part of a cycle we have seen before. Every slowdown in the past has eventually given way to more activity, and this one will too.
Just like the 1980s, 2008, and 2020, today’s dip in home sales is temporary.
What That Means for You
If you have paused your moving plans, you did what you thought was right. Your frustration is valid. But it’s also important to remember the bigger picture. Housing slowdowns don’t last forever.
That’s where I come in. My job is to keep a close eye on the market for you. When the first signs of a rebound appear, I will help you spot the shift early so you can relist with confidence.
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